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中国临床研究:2022,35(4):526-530
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妇科恶性肿瘤患者心理障碍预测模型构建〖
(1. 唐山市妇幼保健院妇科,河北 唐山 063003;2. 唐山市妇幼保健院产科,河北 唐山 063003)
Construction of a predictive model for psychological disorders in patients with gynecological malignant tumors
摘要
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投稿时间:2021-09-02   网络发布日期:2022-04-20
中文摘要: 目的 探讨妇科恶性肿瘤患者心理障碍影响因素并构建预测模型。 方法 前瞻性选取唐山市妇幼保健院2018年1月至2021年4月314例妇科恶性肿瘤患者作为调查对象,采用自制一般资料调查表进行问卷调查,根据明尼苏达多相人格测试(MMPI)分为心理障碍组(MMPI≥60分)和非心理障碍组(MMPI<60分),比较两组一般资料。应用Logistic回归分析妇科恶性肿瘤患者心理障碍影响的因素,随机选取69.75%(219例)的病例作为训练集,30.25%(95例)作为测试集,R软件基于训练集建立列线图预测模型,并在测试集评估模型效能。结果 剔除无效问卷3份(训练集1份、测试集2份),最终获得有效问卷311份,有效回收率为99.04%;训练集中共纳入218例,心理障碍组78例(35.78%),非心理障碍组140例(64.22%)。两组受教育年限、放疗和/或化疗次数、睡眠质量评分、肿瘤转移、生育需求、社会支持评定量表(SSRS)评分、疼痛评分对比差异均有统计学意义(P<0.05,P<0.01);多因素Logistic分析显示,放疗和/或化疗次数(OR=2.484)、睡眠质量评分(OR=1.257)、生育需求(OR=4.932)、肿瘤转移(OR=2.327)为妇科恶性肿瘤患者心理障碍发生的独立危险因素(P<0.01,P<0.05),SSRS评分(OR=0.568)为保护因素(P<0.01);上述因素预测妇科恶性肿瘤患者心理障碍相关因素的一致性指数为0.885(95%CI:0.838~0.933)。外部验证显示模型预测心理障碍敏感性为93.75%,特异性98.36%,准确率96.77%。 结论 放疗和/或化疗次数、睡眠质量、生育需求、肿瘤转移是妇科恶性肿瘤患者心理障碍发生的独立危险因素,社会支持是其保护因素。
Abstract:Objective To explore the influencing factors of psychological disorders in patients with gynecological malignant tumors and construct a prediction model for it. Methods A total of 314 patients with gynecological malignant tumors in Tangshan Maternal and Child Health Hospital from January 2018 to April 2021 were prospectively selected as the subjects for self-made general information questionnaire. According to the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory (MMPI) test, they were divided into mental disorder group (MMPI≥60 points) and non-mental disorder group (MMPI<60 points). Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the related factors affecting the psychological disorders of patients with gynecological malignant tumors. All patients were randomly assigned to the training set (n=219,69.75%) and the test set(n=95,30.25%). The nomogram prediction model based on the training set was established by R software, and the performance of the model was evaluated in the test set. Results A total of 311 valid questionnaires were obtained(99.04%), excluding 3 invalid questionnaires (1 in training set and 2 in test sets). Of 218 cases in training set, there were 78 cases (35.78%) in mental disorder group and 140 cases(64.22%) in non-mental disorder group. There were significant differences between two groups in education level, times of radiotherapy and/or chemotherapy, sleep quality score, tumor metastasis, fertility need, social support rating scale(SSRS) and pain (P<0.05, P<0.01). Multivariate logistic analysis showed that the number of radio therapy and/or chemotherapy(OR=2.484), sleep quality score (OR=1.257), fertility needs (OR=4.932) and tumor metastasis (OR=2.327) were the independent risk factors and SSRS (OR=0.568) was the protective factor (P<0.05,P<0.01). The conformity index of above-mentioned factors predicting the psychological disorders in patients with gynecological malignant tumors was 0.885 (95% CI: 0.838-0.933). External verification showed that the sensitivity, the specificity and the accuracy rate of the model in predicting the psychological disorders were 93.75%, 98.36% and 96.77%, respectively. Conclusion In the patients with gynecological malignancies, the frequency of radio therapy and/or chemotherapy, sleep quality, fertility needs and tumor metastasis are the independent risk factors for the occurrence of psychological disorders,and social support is a protective factor for the psychological well-being.
文章编号:     中图分类号:R737.3 R395    文献标志码:B
基金项目:河北省医学科学研究课题计划(20191539)
引用文本:
董娜,谷丽,宋志慧,等.妇科恶性肿瘤患者心理障碍预测模型构建〖[J].中国临床研究,2022,35(4):526-530.

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